Prediction markets for
cloud infrastructure.
Pick a handle and get $100,000 of play capital. Hedge an outage, or sell protection and earn the premium.
play money · settled by machines, not committees
prediction markets for cloud infrastructure
Prediction markets for cloud infrastructure.
Trade real-time probabilities for outages across cloud, APIs, and critical internet services. Prices update from live telemetry and markets settle from oracle evidence. Flip the toggle to hedge or trade.
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warming up…
inject an outage on checkout-service (the stage safety net) → the oracle logs failing readings → the DEMO contract settles YES and protection holders are paid. the AWS, Stripe, Cloudflare and OpenAI contracts settle only from real telemetry.
full arc: globe turns yellow then red → LPs reprice → the contract settles YES in ~25s → holders paid → Twilio places an AI voice call (script by NVIDIA LLM) announcing the outage. time-compressed simulation; the real monitor resumes after settlement.